In 4 SurveyUSA tracking polls going back 8 weeks, SurveyUSA has never shown the Minnesota Marriage Amendment being defeated. Until today.
ABC Affiliate, KSTP, Minneapolis
Last night, Public Policy Polling released polling numbers showing that 52% of Minnesotans opposed the amendment with 45% in support.
Tonight, KSTP/SurveyUSA release their final poll before the election and the NO side leads with 48% of voters opposed to amending the constitution to limit the rights of committed same-sex couples.
That’s right: A second independent poll has found that Minnesotans oppose amending the constitution to limit the rights of a subset of citizens.
With that said, it’s going to be nail-biting close. According to KSTP:
The margin is small, and could just be statistical noise, but at the wire, SurveyUSA has “No” at 48%, “Yes” at 47%, well within the survey’s possible sources of error, but significant enough to warrant a mention. In SurveyUSA’s two most recent polls, Yes led No by a single point. Now the dress shoe is on the other foot, with No leading Yes by a single point.
With less than 48 hours until Minnesota polls close, we can’t let up. If you can help with get-out-the-vote efforts, please sign up here.
Minnesota, this is going to be close. EVERY single vote is going to matter in this election. Help make history by saying NO on Tuesday!
It’s hard to believe that Minnesota polls will be closed in less than 48 hours. And just like that, we will know whether or not all of the hard work has paid off. Will enough voters stand up for equality and vote No on the mean-spirited marriage amendment?
If you can help out tomorrow or Tuesday with get out the vote efforts, please sign up today.
Time is running out. Let’s make sure we do everything we can to help voters realize why it is so very important to just say No!
On Friday, Minnesotans United posted the latest television commercial in the campaign. The first 10-seconds of the ad is narrated while the recent misleading Minnesota for Marriage commercial plays in the background. A female voice shares:
Unfortunately, supporters of the marriage amendment have been trying to mislead Minnesotans. These ads have been deemed false and misleading.
Statements including “false amendment 1 ads by out-of-state interests” and “WCCO: ‘False’ and ‘Misleading’” are displayed on top of the Minnesota for Marriage ad as the narrator speaks.
At 11s, the solid dark background of the ad is replaced with John and Elizabeth from Edina, Minnesota sitting at what appears to be their dining room table. The couple talk directly to the camera:
Elizabeth: Our parents taught us the Golden Rule, not judging others and treating others the way we’d like to be treated.
John: And those are the values we’re showing our children by voting no on the marriage amendment.
What do you think about this response? Leave your thoughts in the comments below.
If you haven’t seen the latest 30-second ad from Minnesotans United, check it out now.
The commercial features Lutheran Bishop, Herbert Chilstrom, and his wife, Minister Corinne Chilstrom. Together, they share why they are voting no on the mean-spirited marriage amendment.
Herbert: When I was elected Bishop, gay couples started wanting marriage, and I said, I would rather not deal with that.
Corinne: And then we were invited to this meeting and we came into the living room and here were about 25 gay men. We just asked them, ‘What do you want from the church?’ They said, ‘We just want to be accepted like everyone else.’
Herbert: These brothers and sisters in Christ deserve my full support. That’s why we’re voting no.
Please share this video (Tumblr, Facebook, Twitter, etc.) as a reminder that many Christians are on our side and voting NO to discrimination.
The marriage amendment is trailing because of a massive generational divide. Seniors support it by a 57/40 margin but every other age group opposes it, including a 36/62 margin against it among voters under 30. Republicans support it (79%) and Democrats oppose it (76%) in almost equal numbers, but independents tip the balance by opposing it 41/55.
Note: For additional information, check out the detailed breakdown of the poll.
Check out this new radio commercial from Minnesotans United. It’s a full 60-second audio clip that includes a narrator and Kim from Savage, Minnesota encouraging a NO vote. The ad introduces Kim as “a mother, a Catholic and a Republican.” For those that watched the 30-second commercial I posted yesterday, you’ll notice that it’s the same audio track included in this radio ad.
The narrator concludes the ad with a call to action:
If you agree that we shouldn’t use Minnesota’s constitution to deny anyone a basic freedom and that it shouldn’t be illegal to marry the person you love, on Tuesday, please vote no on amendment 1.
If you hear this ad on the radio, be sure to post a comment and let me know what you think!
Our final Minnesota poll finds 45% of voters support the amendment to ban gay marriage, 52% of voters oppose it
Source: Public Policy Polling Tweet
There’s no additional detail posted on the Public Policy Polling site, however, I wanted to share this tweet immediately. As soon as the details of the poll are posted, I’ll share via the blog.
Last month’s poll from PPP showed that 49% of Minnesotans opposed amending the Minnesota constitution to limit the freedom of marriage with 46% of Minnesotans supporting it. Tonight’s numbers reflect a trend we’ve been seeing over the past year; the support for equality continues to increase here in the land of 10,000 lakes!
Here’s the actual tweet from Public Policy Polling:
With just days before polls open, Minnesota, it’s going to be close! We need EVERY single person to show up on Tuesday to ensure we make these numbers come true.
The momentum is in our favor; we can be the first state to defeat one of these amendments! But the only way we’ll do that is if each of us continues to talk about this amendment, tell our stories and encourage Vote No supporters to show up at the polls!
See you Tuesday!
As of today, MinnesotaForEquality.com has logged over 40,000 unique visitors! With over 71,000 pageviews on the site, Vote No Yard Signs from July 1, 2012 attracted the most visits.
After the election, I’ll share more statistics about visits and visitors, however, today I am celebrating the fact that one guy blogging from his bedroom has reached over 40,000 readers.
Never doubt that a small group of thoughtful, committed citizens can change the world. Indeed, it’s the only thing that ever has.
We’re Minnesotans and we won’t back down. Not now, not ever. We can defeat this thing, and with your help, we’ve got a great chance to beat the odds.
3 more days to go.
Some good news for my friends in Washington State tonight: The latest poll from Public Policy Polling shows that the majority of Washington supports equality.
Q6 Do you think same-sex marriage should be legal or illegal?
Legal …………………. .54%
Illegal ………………… .40%
Not sure …………….. . 5%
Even with the margin of error, it appears that Washington residents will reaffirm a decision made earlier this year to legalize same-sex marriage in the state.
Of course, now is not the time to let up! With 3 days to go, all states facing amendment battles on marriage must ensure a strong get out the vote effort.
To my friends in Washington State, good luck!!
Recently, one of my colleagues snapped this picture and emailed it to me:
Of course, I was excited to jump online and recognize pacifier for standing up for equality. As I was getting ready to write this post, I searched for their Facebook page so that I could link to it here, and what I saw shocked me:
Not only is this business taking a visible stand for equality in their stores, they also offered to donate all proceeds of sales during the above weekend to Minnesotans United for All Families. Talk about putting your money where your mouth is!
- Patronize the business online or in store. Let the owners know that you appreciate their support of equality for all Minnesotans
- Like the business on Facebook. As of today, the business has over 4,500 likes. Let’s show them some more love!
- Send the owners a personal note of thanks.
- Reblog this post or share a link on Facebook to build awareness and support for this local business.
[Cpl. Andrew Wilfahrt] gave his life in Afghanistan protecting our freedoms. He was gay. I cannot look at this picture and say, corporal, you are good enough to fight for your country and give your life, but you are not good enough to marry the person you love.
John Kriesel, State Representative
Source: South Washington County Bulletin
This quote is from Republican Representative John Kriesel’s speech before the Minnesota House of Representatives in which he argued against putting up for a popular vote whether or not we should limit the rights of marriage. He was one of only two Republicans that voted against the amendment.
Earlier this week, I posted the 5th television spot that Minnesotans United for All Families released in which they incorporate part of Kriesel’s speech.
A powerful reminder that this amendment impacts REAL Minnesotans. I hope you will join me in saying NO to writing discrimination into our state constitution.
There have been so many moments over the past year where I’ve been proud to be a Minnesotan. A kind gesture, an inspiring email and wonderful stories across the land of 10,000 lakes remind me why I’ve made Minnesota home.
Last week, Cheryl Schmillen of Granite Falls wrote a letter to the editor in which she shares her reasons for voting no: She believes that the State Constitution should “uphold our rights, not take them away.” There’s another reason, too:
I also have a very personal reason to oppose this amendment. That reason involves my nephew. He grew up in a small town near here; got his degree at Minnesota State University Moorhead, and recently he received his doctorate from Columbia University in New York. Yes, that Ivy League school.
He now has a great job in Chicago. He has accomplished so many things and he has contributed so much to society in his young life already. He treats others with kindness and respect and I’m very proud of him. He happens to be gay and in a committed relationship.
You’ll notice how Schmillen introduces her nephew: two paragraphs about what he’s already accomplished in his life. Oh, and he also happens to be gay and in a committed relationship. So why shouldn’t he have the same rights as everyone else? It is stories like these from all across the state that remind us the importance of fighting for equality.
Schmillen concludes her letter beautifully. In fact, I know that I will quote her in the future:
My thought is that we certainly don’t need more hate and discrimination in the world but more compassion, understanding, and acceptance.
What a wonderful sentiment. I look forward to living in a Minnesota that stands up for what is right and says NO to amending the constitution to limit the freedom to marry.
Google employees recently recorded a video in support of marriage equality for the four states facing ballot measures in November. According to the video posted on Google’s “lifeatgoogle” channel:
This November, there are 4 states with marriage referendums on the ballot. Google employees show their support for marriage equality and urge you to add your voice, too. Visit http://www.TheFour.com to learn more.
In the video, Google employees encourage viewers to take a stand for marriage equality:
There are millions of people fighting for the right to marry and it’s important we support them.
Many thanks to Google for standing up for my rights and for the rights of Minnesotans!
PS- For those Minnesota-based businesses that haven’t taken a stand against the marriage amendment, this is who you’re competing against for your talent. This amendment not only negatively impacts real Minnesotans, it will also impact our ability to recruit and retain world-class talent. Trust me on this one.
In Minnesota, there are certain truths we hold dear: freedom, treating others as we would want to be treated and honesty. Supporters of the marriage amendment aren’t living up to that.
Kim goes on to rebuff claims made in the recent Minnesota for Marriage ad when she states:
The truth? This amendment means no change to what schools teach. And no change to the fact that children learn their most important values at home from their parents.
The 30-second spot concludes with Kim speaking to the camera again:
The values we share and the values we want to teach our kids are why so many Minnesotans are voting No on Amendment 1. And I hope you will too.
Clearly, the reference to “Amendment 1″ was in response to Minnesota for Marriage calling it that in their commercial. You see, everyone has heard the message, “Vote No on the marriage amendment.” So, strategically, it makes sense that Minnesota for Marriage doesn’t refer to it by that name.
It’s also clear that Minnesotans United is countering amendment supporters’ Kalley Yanta with Kim. Talking to the camera in a soft voice reminds me of Minnesota for Marriage’s second ad (sans the iPad and coffee mug).
I’m not sure if this spot will air on television, but I hope it does. Why we didn’t proactively address this concern is still beyond me, but we can evaluate our strategies next week. Right now, let’s defeat this mean-spirited amendment!