That’s the headline of a recent Public Policy Polling poll on the Minnesota marriage amendment. According to PPP:
PPP’s newest poll on the constitutional amendment to ban gay marriage in Minnesota finds it virtually tied, with 48% of voters supporting the ban to 47% who oppose it. In January we found 48/44 support for the ban, while in June we found 49/43 opposition. It looks like a toss up.
While support for the amendment has remained fairly consistent, opposition continues to rise. However, it is still important to note that at no point in polling has opposition surpassed support.
PPP provides the following breakdown of support/opposition:
Women (52/41), Democrats (78/16), and voters under 45 (50/45) all oppose the ban. Men (55/41), Republicans (80/17), independents (51/42), and seniors (53/40) all support it in greater numbers though.
Additionally, the poll finds that 5% of voters are still unsure. With a +/- 3.4% margin, the amendment race continues to be tight, at least from a polling perspective.
For additional content around polling, check out the following blog posts:
- Marriage amendment poised to pass (9/11/2012)
- Undecided voters (9/6/2012)
- Amendment support strong with various groups of voters (8/7/2012)
- Majority of Minnesotans voting for inequality? (7/31/2012)
- Minnesota marriage amendment to pass? (7/26/2012)