In 4 SurveyUSA tracking polls going back 8 weeks, SurveyUSA has never shown the Minnesota Marriage Amendment being defeated. Until today.
ABC Affiliate, KSTP, Minneapolis
Last night, Public Policy Polling released polling numbers showing that 52% of Minnesotans opposed the amendment with 45% in support.
Tonight, KSTP/SurveyUSA release their final poll before the election and the NO side leads with 48% of voters opposed to amending the constitution to limit the rights of committed same-sex couples.
That’s right: A second independent poll has found that Minnesotans oppose amending the constitution to limit the rights of a subset of citizens.
With that said, it’s going to be nail-biting close. According to KSTP:
The margin is small, and could just be statistical noise, but at the wire, SurveyUSA has “No” at 48%, “Yes” at 47%, well within the survey’s possible sources of error, but significant enough to warrant a mention. In SurveyUSA’s two most recent polls, Yes led No by a single point. Now the dress shoe is on the other foot, with No leading Yes by a single point.
With less than 48 hours until Minnesota polls close, we can’t let up. If you can help with get-out-the-vote efforts, please sign up here.
Minnesota, this is going to be close. EVERY single vote is going to matter in this election. Help make history by saying NO on Tuesday!
Sharing some sad news tonight: Polling numbers released yesterday show the mean-spirited marriage amendment passing. According to the latest poll released by KSTP/SurveyUSA, the amendment has the needed 50 percent support to pass. Not only that, but historically polling under-represents the number of “yes” voters, so this number is likely to be higher come election day.
With that said, 43 percent of those polled oppose the amendment and another 8 percent of voters are undecided. Compared to a poll released in July from KSTP/SurveyUSA, opposition to the amendment has increased by six percentage points while support has declined by two.
I truly believe that increased opposition is due to all of the hard work volunteers are putting in across this state. Whether you participated in National Night Out, volunteered at the State Fair, canvassed your neighborhood, called voters or had conversations on Facebook or at work, each of us is driving change.
With eight weeks to go until the election, we still have a lot of work to do. I know that many folks are getting tired and are frustrated with today’s results, but we should find motivation in the fact that these numbers continue to shift in a positive direction. Opposition to this mean-spirited amendment continues to grow; we can’t let up now. We must continue to have conversations and help educate voters.
With your help, we will defeat this thing. Let’s show the world that Minnesota says NO to writing discrimination into our constitution. Stand with me and proudly say, “Vote NO!”
Note: The KSTP/SurveyUSA poll has a Margin of error is plus or minus 4.3 percent.
Our opponents have the cultural elite, wealthy contributors, and editorial writers, but we have voters on our side. We are particularly pleased with the lead the amendment enjoys among Independent voters and the large percentage of Democratic voters who support the amendment.
John Helmberger, Chairman, Minnesota for Marriage
Source: The New American
Helmberger’s response to a new poll conducted jointly by SurveyUSA and KSTP that found a 15 point spread between those who support the mean-spirited marriage amendment and those who oppose it. Read more about the poll in my blog post from yesterday.
According to new polling numbers released July 22, amendment supporters now have a 15 point lead. The survey, conducted through SurveyUSA and KSTP-TV, found that 52 percent of respondents indicated that they would be voting for the amendment while only 37 percent opposed.
Many will argue, “Oh, this is just one poll…” but the reality is, these numbers are similar to what many other states have seen in their amendment fights.
Minnesota (and our friends and allies in other states), it’s time to take notice. We need to make sure our voices are louder than ever, that we’re telling our stories, that we’re talking to friends and family and that we’re out there in the workplace and communities talking about why this amendment is so bad for Minnesota.
Election day is just over 100 days away. The clock is ticking.
Note: additional information on the survey can be found at twincities.com.